The blog is written by PV-Tech's Editor-in-Chief, Mark Osborne. He has been covering the semiconductor and related industries for over ten years. Mark has been blogging tech since 2005.
After a slow start, this year’s PV Industry Forum, the traditional opening conference of Intersolar Week in Munich, finally got going during the last session of the day with a resounding call to action from none other than Q-Cells’ boss, Anton Milner. The conference opened with the usual slides and the usual suspects giving their views of the overall solar market. The obligatory emerging market was given lip service--this time it was India--while the rest of the presentations mostly failed to engage the audience in a meaningful way. Things changed during the afternoon....
The most hyped new product in the solar sphere comes from BioSolar and its many derivatives of its backsheet material, based originally on cotton and beans. The company has released claims that it will now enter production and have product available for sale at commercial levels sometime in the second half of 2009.
Last week, Yingli Green announced a three-year c-Si module supply deal with AES. Last year, AES announced supply deals with First Solar, suggesting the cost-per leader was becoming the de facto choice for large-scale utility projects. Doubts surfaced over whether c-Si could effectively compete with First Solar and other thin-film technologies that had 10%-plus efficiencies, especially those with the manufacturing scale or plans for high-volume production.
News that amorphous thin-film competitors Sunfilm and Sontor are to merge due to the competitive landscape, overcrowded market, and the dominance of First Solar-- both from a capacity and conversion efficiency standpoint--could be the first of many such consolidations, as the solar market stalls because of the global current economic climate.
A new 66 page report commissioned by The Edison Foundation and conducted by the Brattle Group, details the energy demand of the U.S. through 2030. Key findings are that U.S. electricity consumption is projected to grow 26% through 2030 requiring a further 259GW of capacity, excluding 30GW, which would be in need of decommissioning in that period.
The Chip Shots blog channels the observations of Fabtech's and PV-Tech/Photovoltaic International's Senior Contributing Editor--USA, Tom Cheyney, a 20-year veteran of semiconductor, advanced micro/nanoelectronics, and solar manufacturing trade journalism. For 15 years, Tom was editor in chief of MICRO (the original home of Chip Shots) until it ceased publication in July 2006. Tom calls Los Angeles home.
One of the key tenets in First Solar’s cost-cutting and continuous improvement mantras is the ever-increasing conversion efficiency of its cadmium telluride thin-film panels. "A tremendous amount of our ability to drive down cost has to do with improving the efficiency, one of the fundamental metrics that drives our technology," said company president Bruce Sohn during last week’s analysts meet. Given how progress has gone so far, 11% CdTe module efficiency should be right around the corner, with management exuding confidence that the magic number will pop to 12.5% within a few years. Beyond that, First says it will surpass the NREL "hero cell" efficiency of 16.5% with its production modules. But how?
The market watchers have already parsed, pared, and pontificated on First Solar’s newly modified business models, the nuts and bolts of what chairman/CEO Mike Ahearn calls the company’s "sustainable competitive cost advantage." But the updates on the manufacturing and technology sides of the business warrant some additional scrutiny. On the module side, company president Bruce Sohn outlined how the new five-year plan calls for 56-68% reductions in the cost per manufactured watt, driving down to a targeted range of 52 to 63 cents per watt by 2014. The largest portion of the cost cutting will be facilitated by conversion efficiency improvements (about 18-25% of the weight, with better throughputs, plant scaling, etc. also contributing). The impact of building factories in low-cost locations such as Malaysia has been much reduced in the current roadmap, dropping from accounting for 15-17% of the cost reduction improvements to 3-4% in the company’s new gameplan.
The solar industry has yet to have an "Intel Inside" marketing moment, but it's not for lack of trying--at least in some quarters. Remember the kinda-cool Sharp TV and newspaper ads that started running last fall? One of the latest efforts in increasing the public's photovoltaic awareness--and hopefully system sales--comes from SunPower, and its "Seize Today" campaign launched in early June. While waiting on my flight and strolling the San Jose International Airport earlier today, I came across two examples of the U.S. solar company's PVangelism on the terminal walls.
When it comes to their knowledge about solar power, many Americans are both exuberant in their desire to see solar more quickly become a larger part of the country's energy portfolio and ignorant of just how much sun-based electricity is being generated by their utilities. A slim majority would pay more on their monthly energy bills if their utility ramped up the percentage of its power provided by renewables, but a significant minority would not. Many think the U.S. leads the world in solar, and most believe that the optimal, most efficient way to deploy solar power is on private homes. Those are some of the findings in the "Summer Solstice" thought leadership survey of the U.S. public's "understanding and opinions about solar energy," designed and analyzed by Ketchum Global Research Network and carried out by Braun Research on behalf of Applied Materials.
PHILADELPHIA—No one was jonesing for CIGS at last week's IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference—copper-indium-gallium-(di)selenide thin film-related programming, that is. Several oral and poster sessions were dedicated to the technology (or, in some cases, its copper-indium-sulfide cousin), while CIGS-specific presentations on window and contact layers as well as characterization and analysis approaches were also prevalent in other sessions. For a PV food group with less than 1% market share of the installed system base, CIGS had a mighty presence at the annual event.