How do flexible electronics, American football, financial and market
results, politics, and photovoltaics go together? They don't, except as
fodder for some Monday morning perspectives on Chip Shots.
Watching the New York Giants upset the mighty New England Patriots
in the Super Bowl got me thinking about one flexible display
application that hasn't received much attention. When the camera zoomed
in on the Giants' Eli Manning or the Pats' Tom Brady in the huddle, the
two quarterbacks were often seen referring to a plastic/fabric band
wrapped around their left wrists, which listed the various plays to be
called.
It doesn't take much to imagine a next-generation version of the
wristband, one enabled with flexible, plastic display technology,
two-way wireless links, and video feeds (or at least still-image
feeds), which would connect the QB (and other players) to the coaches
in a very real-time way. Plays would be sent in or quickly referred to
in a playbook database, photos or minivideos of the defensive
alignments would be accessible, helpful stats could be there at a
player's fingertips, etc. The device would have to be rugged and stand
up to inclement weather conditions, as well as the punishment of the QB
getting sacked or hit by rampaging defensive linemen, mad-dog
linebackers, and blitzing safeties.
The US Army already has devices like this in the prototype stage
(as part of its Future Combat Systems work, carried out at the Army's
own labs and at partner locations such as the Flexible Display Center
at Arizona State University), so it's not a stretch to see flexible
electronics-enabled wristbands possibly coming onto the gridiron and
other sporting/outdoor venues in the not-too-distant future.
The
Semiconductor Industry Association
announced the chip industry's 2007 global sales numbers last week,
Exxon Mobil posted its annual results for the fiscal year, Microsoft
said it wants to buy Yahoo for a serious chunk of change, and other
companies played their part in the quarterly frenzy known as "earnings
season." A comparison of the numbers provides ample opportunities for a
dollars-and-sense reality check, albeit in a very apples-and-oranges
kind of way.
SIA said that chip sales reached a record $255.6 billion in 2007,
the sixth straight year that the sector has seen positive growth. Exxon
Mobil all by its lonesome posted revenues and other income to the tune
of $404.55 billion and net income of $40.6 billion. When compared to
the 2006 figures ($247.7 billion for SIA, $377.63 billion for Exxon
Mobil), the gap between the total sales of the entire semi industry and
the world's largest oil company continues to expand.
Exxon Mobil's income alone is within a few billion of what
Microsoft has offered to pay for Yahoo (an admittedly moving target as
stock prices fluctuate in the aftermath of the news). The corporate
behemoth's profits also hover within a few billion of another semi
industry metric: capital expenditures. In Gartner Dataquest's latest
data, the capex for the Top 20 chipmakers in 2007 came in at just over
$42 billion. Dataquest expects a hefty 16.6% cut in capex in 2008,
downgrading its already pessimistic -13.2% forecast from earlier in the
year. Exxon's capital and exploration budget ---$20.85 billion in
2007---continues to grow.
Just for fun, I broke down Exxon Mobil's numbers to daily and
hourly chunks, and compared those quotients to the recently announced
financials from a couple of semi equipment companies. What were the
average daily revenues for the energy giant last year? About $1.108
billion. Average hourly revenues? Some $46.18 million. Average revenues
per minute? Almost $770,000.
Now put those side by side with the results announced by Novellus
and Mattson last week. Novellus said its annual revenues for 2007 were
$1.57 billion, while Mattson posted sales of more than $267 million. So
in less than day and a half Exxon Mobil sees roughly the same amount of
money flow into its coffers as Novellus does in an entire year, while
Mattson gets passed by Big Oil in less than 6 hours. On the income
side, Exxon netted $40.6 billion in FY07, or about $111.2 million per
day, $4.6 million per hour, and $77,000 per minute. In this case,
Novellus's profits of nearly $214 million take about two days to filter
into Exxon's accounts, while Mattson's $27.6 million net income needs 6
hours for absorption.
With the California presidential primary election taking place
tomorrow, I didn't want to let slide a photovoltaic moment from last
week's campaign trail. Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger used
Solar Integrated Technologies'
factory as the venue to announce his endorsement of John McCain for the
Republican nomination for president, as former candidate and recent
McCain endorser Rudy Giuliani looked on. The image of those particular
politicos holding forth in that particular location elicited some
unusual responses, since Republicans (other than Arnold, J Mac, and a
handful of others) don't have the strongest clean-tech platforms, and
the company is based in south Los Angeles, a part of town better known
for being a tough neighborhood than as a hotbed of renewable energy
manufacturing.
Solar Integrated makes portable systems and "solar tents," but its
bread-and-butter products are building-integrated PV roofing systems,
which benefit from a proprietary process that laminates flexible
amorphous-silicon thin-film PV cells from
Uni-Solar
into heavy-duty roofing "fabrics." In addition to the news around the
Governator's words, the company said it is ramping production to
round-the-clock, 24/7 status to meet growing demand. Solar Integrated
has seen a strong pull from the market lately, having signed several
multimillion-dollar deals for PV roofing projects in France, Germany,
Italy, Spain, and the US in recent months.