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Opinion

iSuppli: PV component price declines set to continue with polysilicon declining 56.3% in 2010

25 February 2010

Henning Wicht, Senior Director and Principal Analyst for photovoltaic systems at iSuppli CorpPolysilicon, wafers and solar module prices all declined severely in 2009, according to a new report from iSuppli. On average, crystalline module prices dropped 37.8%, solar wafer prices fell by 50%, and polysilicon prices declined by 80%. The market research firm expects further price declines in 2010, though not at the steep levels seen last year. In 2010, iSuppli is forecasting price declines for crystalline modules of 20%, solar wafers to decline by 18.2%, and polysilicon prices falling by a further 56.3%. Falling prices is now set in stone for the PV industry, which will benefit from becoming increasing competitive with other renewable energy forms, according to iSuppli.

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News

Meyer Burger acquires remaining outstanding stake in Hennecke Systems

19 March 2010

Hennecke Systems measuring systemAs part of its strategic plan to become a leading broad-based equipment supplier to the solar manufacturing industry, Meyer Burger Technology has acquired the remaining 34% share capital in Hennecke Systems. Meyer Burger had concluded a 66% share acquisition in the inspection equipment firm in February, 2008.

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SunPower reports US$1.52 billion revenue in 2009: Guides US$2.0 billion plus in 2010

18 March 2010

SunPower Corp has reported record fourth quarter revenue of US$548 million, which helped push 2009 total revenues to US$1.52 billion, a 6% increase over 2008. SunPower guided revenue for 2010 would be between US$2.00 and US$2.25 billion and heavily weighted to large-scale utility projects in the second half of the year. The SunRay Renewable Energy acquisition will add 1.2GW to its project pipeline, which the company said was now standing at 4GW. The company reached a cost per watt of slightly below US$2.00 in the fourth quarter.

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German government official claims 3GW of solar modules installed in 2009: expects 5GW in 2010

18 March 2010

Dr. Karin Freier Bundesumweltministerium The German government solar energy official, Dr. Karin Freier told a Euroforum conference that solar module installations reached 3GW in 2009, according to Reuters. The official figures have yet to be released, with many industry observers believing the figures are being withheld until proposed feed-in tariff cuts gain full authorization. Reuters quoted Freier as saying that more than 5GW could be installed in Germany this year as the race to beat the tariff cuts that are to start July 1st occurs.

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Bloomberg New Energy Finance Model projects 22% of global power generation from renewables by 2020

18 March 2010

Although a new long-range forecast from Bloomberg New Energy Finance believes wind will be the main technology used through 2030, solar photovoltaics is expected to grow considerably in that timeframe and help contribute to renewable energy generating 22% of global energy production by 2020 and 31% by 2030. According to the report annual global expenditure on renewable energy projects will increase from US$90 billion in 2009 to US$150 billion in 2020. Given current policy targets from countries around the world, expenditure is projected to increase to US$200 billion annually by 2030.

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Solar photovoltaic market grew 6% in 2009, says Solarbuzz

15 March 2010

Global solar photovoltaic installations reached 6.43GW in 2009, an increase of 6% over 2008, according to a new report from Solarbuzz, which was recently acquired by The NPD Group. According to the market research firm, this is a new record for installations and generated US$38 billion in global revenues. The top three countries in Europe were Germany, Italy and the Czech Republic, which accounted for 4.07GW of installations. European countries accounted for 4.75GW of installations or 74% of world demand in 2009. The United States was the third-largest market in 2009, which grew 36% to 485MW, with Japan posting growth of 109% to secure the fourth spot.

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Solar trade-show group chooses Dallas as site for SPI 2011, names Brian Tully exec director

14 March 2010

spi09_2The solar industry's largest trade show in the United States, Solar Power International, will be moving outside of California, as Dallas, TX, has been chosen as the site for the event in 2011. The board of managers of Solar Energy Trade Shows (SETS) announced the decision a few days after naming Brian Tully as the organization's new executive director.

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Technical Papers

EPIA’s Photovoltaic Observatory: an in-depth analysis of feed-in tariff schemes

Gaëtan Masson, EPIA, Brussels, Belgium

The vital importance of the regulation framework to trigger the development of a PV market has been recognized these last few years in many European countries. For policymakers today, one of the key challenges is making the best choice to initiate and stimulate PV markets. In the aftermath of the financial crisis, EPIA has launched the PV Observatory initiative. This paper describes this new initiative, which aims at analyzing the current state of regulatory frameworks in a set of countries, starting with the main European PV markets.

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The cell and module equipment market 2009: a sobering year

John West, VLSI Research, Bedford, UK

PV Cell and Module MarketAs 2009 comes to a close, many equipment suppliers are reflecting on the fact that the photovoltaic industry, despite its huge growth potential, can be a brutal place to do business. In the first half of the year many equipment suppliers had the unnerving experience of falling off a cliff, going from record order levels to no orders at all in the space of a few months. This sobering moment served as a reminder that the PV industry needs both access to finance and government support to continue growing. Indeed, it should be remembered that photovoltaics would still only be an interesting technology serving niche markets were it not for government subsidies. The one good thing about this year has been the accelerated drop in cell and panel prices. This is bringing ever closer the day when the price of PV generated electricity reaches parity with electricity generated from non-renewable sources and subsidies are no longer required. It is also driving a new round of investment in more efficient manufacturing equipment.

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PV sector outlook: an analyst’s perspective

Vishal Shah, Barclays Capital, New York, USA

Sempra Generation's El Dorado PlantSolar currently represents less than 0.5% of global electricity generation. However, as renewable electricity gains importance in the US$1 trillion global electricity market, we forecast solar photovoltaic shipments to rise at a compound annual growth rate of 50% for the next four years. We expect an increasing number of countries to promote solar energy as the cost gap between solar and fossil fuel-generated electricity closes. This paper provides an overview of what to expect from the PV market in 2010.

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German PV market overview

Daniel Pohl & Jan Winkler, EuPD Research, Bonn, Germany

The global PV market is undergoing fundamental change. According to a new survey by EuPD Research, Germany is once again the most important PV sales market worldwide this year. Current market conditions are tightening, but within Germany there is still plenty of undiscovered potential. The transformation of the PV market from a supply-driven sellers' market to a demand-driven buyers' market is, however, an accelerated process rather than a slow development.

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Recent trends in the PV industry: lessons from the patent application filing figures

Alberto Visentin, European Patent Office, Berlin, Germany

Published patent applicationsThis article will look at what trends can be gleaned from patent application publication figures of the past decade in the sector of PV technology. The study looks at the number of patent applications in PV technology published worldwide between 1999 and 2008. The data will show in which regions and countries patent protection is being sought. The figures are taken from patent documentation databases developed by the European Patent Office (EPO) and Japan Patent Office or databases used worldwide and available at the EPO, and they are retrieved mostly using patent classification schemes. The article also provides a brief overview of the role of the EPO and what companies, researchers and individual inventors should keep in mind when applying for a European patent.

 

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