China’s National Energy Administration (NEA) has forecast that on grid solar capacity in the country will reach 10GW by the end of 2013, according to state news agency Xinhua.

The total grid installed generation capacity from all sources is predicted to reach 1,235GW by the end of this year, the NEA has said. The rise represents a 200% increase compared to start of the year, according to the NEA.

The share of thermal power from this the 10GW estimate is expected to drop from a 71.5% share in 2012 to 69.6%, while hydro is expected to remain the same (at 25.5%), as will on grid wind (6.1%) and nuclear (1.2%).

The country has a 35GW target for all solar installations by 2015 and has extended its distributed solar capacity target to 20GW by 2015.

A report by NPD Solarbuzz predicted China would be the top nation for solar deployment in 2013. With obstacles to grid access for solar farms cut, Chinese ground-mounted projects are expected to pick up momentum.