By M. Braun, Institut für Solare Energieversorgungstechnik e.V. (ISET); Y.-M. Saint-Drenan, Institut für Solare Energieversorgungstechnik e.V. (ISET); T. Glotzbach, Institut für Solare Energieversorgungstechnik e.V. (ISET); T. Degner, Institut für Solare Energieversorgungstechnik e.V. (ISET); S. Bofinger, Institut für Solare Energieversorgungstechnik e.V. (ISET)
This paper presents a detailed assessment of the value of photovoltaic energy within the German energy supply structure, taking into account the correlation between actual consumption and local power generation. Contrary to previous statistical approaches, this paper takes a new dynamic approach, modelling the dynamic behaviour of the PV power generation as a one-year time series. A comparison with the time series of the power demand allows assessment of the value of PV energy. The value of PV energy mainly results from its ability to substitute conventional power generation and the benefit of this kind of decentralized power generation for network stability and quality. An evaluation of these aspects is carried out for the year 2005 and a likely scenario in 2015.