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Germany PV installation rates continue decline

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    Germany is predicted to have half the installed PV capacity of 2012, by the end of 2013. Image: markenub

The German Federal Network Agency’s monthly PV registration figures reveal nearly 226MW of PV systems were registered in October, continuing the country’s trend of falling installation rates this year.

More than 10,000 systems were registered to total 225.9MW of new PV capacity across Germany. Most of the newly registered systems, 7,241, were 0-10kW in size, 2,323 were 10-50kW, 222 50-100kW, and 200 systems were in the 100-1,000kW range.

Just 25 registered systems were over 1,000kW (1MW) in size. 

The figures show October is following the trend from August and September this year, when installations fell below the 300MW mark to 291.64 in August and 290.8MW in September.

Overall Germany has recorded less than 3GW of new capacity so far this year, with analysts predicting around 4GW in total by the end of 2013. Last year Germany achieved a record 7.6GW of new capacity.

This year’s figures are evidence that the German government’s attempts to get PV growth in Germany under control by reducing feed-in tariffs are bearing fruit.

According the country’s solar association, BSW-Solar, a survey of solar installers reveals a progressive switch to PV self-consumption, driven by the falling feed-in tariff rates paid for solar power in Germany.


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    Forecasting the evolution of a young, dynamic industry is by definition an uncertain business, and solar is no exception. Rarely, if ever, do the numbers broadcast by any of the various bodies involved in the PV prediction game tally, and even historical deployment rates remain the subject of hot debate. The paradox is that getting forecasts broadly right is going to become increasingly important over the next few years, particularly for those involved in producing the equipment that will support whatever levels of demand come to pass.



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