PV Price Watch: Chinese module bids fall below RMB1 per watt after PV supply chain prices plummet

By Carrie Xiao

The average price of solar-grade polysilicon has dropped from the peak of RMB240,000-250,000/tonne (US$32,856-34,191) at the beginning of the year to RMB70,000-90,000/tonne.

On 18 October, the Silicon Industry Branch of the China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association released the latest transaction prices for solar-grade polysilicon.

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The prices indicate that in the past week:

-N-type material transaction price was RMB90,000-96,000/tonne, averaging RMB93,100/tonne.

-Mono recharging chip transaction price was RMB78,000-85,000/tonne, averaging RMB82,100/tonne.

-Mono dense poly material transaction price was RMB76,000-83,000/tonne, averaging RMB80,100/tonne.

-Mono popcorn material transaction price was RMB3,000-80,000/tonne, averaging RMB77,400/tonne.

2023 China polysilicon average transaction prices. Source: Silicon Industry Branch, Solarbe

With the inventory of silicon materials increasing, there is potential for further price reductions. The industry predicts that silicon material prices will reach a new historical low by the end of 2023.

Source: InfoLink

From late September, silicon wafer prices have been rapidly declining due to rising inventory. InfoLink reports that major wafer manufacturers are contemplating production cut plans, and that the overall operation level of the ingot pulling segment in October has dropped to around 82-84%.

Cell transaction prices continue to collapse, with some prices seemingly unavailable for quotation. Manufacturers have been adjusting their prices on a daily basis, and there have been instances of delayed quotations. The pricing disparity between high- and low-efficiency cells continues to be chaotic.

InfoLink’s price monitoring indicates that the transaction prices for M10 and G12 cell sizes, led by top module manufacturers, hovered around RMB0.57-0.59/watt and RMB0.58-0.60/watt last week.

On the module side, on 18 October, with the opening of 2023 bids for the third batch of collective procurement by China’s state-owned Huadian Group, the lowest bid price for n-type modules was only RMB1.08/W, while p-type modules stood at RMB0.9933/W. This was the first time prices have fallen below RMB1/W, heralding the “one-yuan era” for modules.

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