Requires Subscription: Photovoltaics International Archive

PV market evolution until 2020: The long quest for competitive PV

Share on facebook
Facebook
Share on twitter
Twitter
Share on linkedin
LinkedIn
Share on reddit
Reddit
Share on email
Email

By Gaëtan Masson, Becquerel Institute, Brussels, Belgium

The global PV capacity reached 177GW at the end of 2014, and by 2020 the PV Market Alliance forecasts that 630GW of PV could be installed. The entire value chain of the PV industry needs accurate data and a clear vision of how markets could develop in the future in order to avoid repeating past mistakes, and especially the damaging price war that led to a dramatic industry consolidation. The question of PV market evolution will be acute in 2015 and 2017, which will represent the next two important milestones for PV development: for the first time in years, the PV industry could approach its production capacity limits.

L3dwLWNvbnRlbnQvdXBsb2Fkcy9sZWdhY3ktcHVibGljYXRpb24tcGRmcy9kZmI3ZGIyNGRlLXB2LW1hcmtldC1ldm9sdXRpb24tdW50aWwtMjAyMC10aGUtbG9uZy1xdWVzdC1mb3ItY29tcGV0aXRpdmUtcHYucGRm

Published In

Photovoltaics International Archive
Forecasting the evolution of a young, dynamic industry is by definition an uncertain business, and solar is no exception. Rarely, if ever, do the numbers broadcast by any of the various bodies involved in the PV prediction game tally, and even historical deployment rates remain the subject of hot debate. The paradox is that getting forecasts broadly right is going to become increasingly important over the next few years, particularly for those involved in producing the equipment that will support whatever levels of demand come to pass. As discussed by Gaëtan Masson, director of the Becquerel Institute, on p.110 of this issue of Photovoltaics International, although global PV demand appears in rude health, complex political and economic conditions in many individual markets mean the question of how vigorously it will continue to grow in the coming years is less than clear. Yet for the upstream part of the industry, correctly forecasting PV market developments will be critical to ensure the right investments are made along the value chain in technologies that will help spur PV to new levels of competitiveness and thus drive continued demand.

Read Next

PV Tech Premium
Market Watch, PV Tech Power Papers
For years California, Texas and Florida have dominated the US solar market, but backed by the investment tax credit, strong state-specific renewables standards and falling costs, new states are coming to the fore. Molly Lempriere takes a look at what is driving them, and the hurdles they face if they are to challenge the ‘Big Three’.
PV Tech Premium
Market Watch, PV Tech Power Papers
As several large investors exit Australia, Alice Grundy takes a look at how transmission infrastructure and future policies are denting investor confidence while initiatives like the Renewable Energy Zones are creating new potential.
PV Tech Premium
Market Watch, PV Tech Power Papers
Reforms in energy policy since the election of Andrés Manuel López Obrador have led to increased uncertainty for solar developers in Mexico, with renewables auctions cancelled and changes to power dispatch priorities proposed. Alice Grundy looks at how the market can move forward once again.
Photovoltaics International Archive
Cell Processing, Photovoltaics International Papers
The holy grail of every solar cell producer is the creation of a lowcost interdigitated back-contact (IBC) solar cell with an efficiency greater than 25%, a goal that can be found in almost every roadmap presentation. In this paper it will be shown that we are not far away from achieving this target, since IBC devices, with different process complexities, are already in production at several companies.
Photovoltaics International Archive
Cell Processing, Photovoltaics International Papers
This paper will accordingly outline the recent activities at CEA-INES concerning the development and understanding of the integration of such shingle cells.
Photovoltaics International Archive
Cell Processing, Photovoltaics International Papers
In this paper, an even greater reduction in wafer thickness, down to 130μm, is evaluated, and the critical steps in terms of breakage rates in cell and module production processes are reviewed. Finally, the mechanical stability and reliability of these thin HJT cells in glass–backsheet and glass–glass module types are addressed.

Subscribe to Newsletter

Upcoming Events

Solar Media Events
October 19, 2021
BRISTOL, UK
Upcoming Webinars
November 10, 2021
8am (PST) | 5pm (CET)
Solar Media Events
December 1, 2021