Reduced US-China tariff rates weaken SolarWorld’s negotiating position, says Roth Capital

Facebook
Twitter
LinkedIn
Reddit
Email

Potentially reduced anti-dumping tariffs in the US could strengthen Chinese firms’ position at the negotiating table in “ongoing” talks to settle the latest dispute, according to ROTH Capital.

At the end of last week the US Department of Commerce reduced the tariffs from the 2012 trade case for around 20 companies on modules shipped during a limited period. A final review of tariffs is expected in April, or June if there is an extension granted. The combined 2012 anti-dumping and anti-subsidy tariff rate could effectively fall from 31% to 18%.

This article requires Premium SubscriptionBasic (FREE) Subscription

Try Premium for just $1

  • Full premium access for the first month at only $1
  • Converts to an annual rate after 30 days unless cancelled
  • Cancel anytime during the trial period

Premium Benefits

  • Expert industry analysis and interviews
  • Digital access to PV Tech Power journal
  • Exclusive event discounts

Or get the full Premium subscription right away

Or continue reading this article for free

Based on production costs of US$0.53/W including shipping, Roth estimated profit margins could rise to around 7% for Chinese firms. This would reduce average selling prices (ASPs), which would ultimately weaken SolarWorld’s position in talks to settle the latest disagreement.

“We believe the potential tariff change represents a meaningful improvement for the economic outlook of the US market. While the 2014 trade case, in our view, is not immediately relevant, companies are actively shipping under the 2012 tariff regime,” a Roth Capital research note said. “As for the impact of these preliminary results on the ongoing US/China negotiations for an overall compromise, we believe the lower tariffs provide the Chinese with greater leverage in the discussions. If the ~18% tariff becomes final, we could see US ASPs erode modestly given the margin improvement, thereby making it more challenging for SolarWorld to defend the higher minimum import prices that it currently requires.”

In response, Mukesh Dulani, US president of SolarWorld told PV Tech: “The findings by Commerce are only preliminary results of the annual review of the orders, and SolarWorld will carefully scrutinise them and work to ensure that the final results reflect all of China’s unfair trade practices. Regardless, the preliminary subsidy numbers increased, and both the underlying dumping and subsidy orders will stay in place for at least five years. SolarWorld remains focused on the goal of restoring fair trade to the US solar market, and any negotiated settlement must ensure that all sectors of US solar, including manufacturing, will be able to thrive in a growing, competitive marketplace.”

Another firm has predicted more dramatic increases in profit margins for some Chinese companies. Module manufacturers could see profit margins in the US rise to as much as 15% if the new tariff rates become final, according to Taiwanese-based EnergyTrend.

EnergyTrend estimated that they could achieve a cost of US$0.50/W for modules imported into the States.

EnergyTrend research manager Jason Huang said the change would also make Taiwanese cell manufacturers less competitive.

“With the drop in the tariff rate, vertically integrated Chinese manufacturers will become more competitive in the US market than before due to their scale,” he said.

Read Next

September 15, 2025
Advances in edge-based artificial intelligence are helping make solar and storage interoperable by tackling the data challenge, writes Andrew Foster.
September 15, 2025
Italy’s latest renewable energy tender has received 12GW of bids, of which the majority, 10GW, came from solar PV.
September 15, 2025
Sunrun has priced a securitisation of leases and power purchase agreements, taking its non-recourse debt capital raised in Q3 above US$1.5 billion. 
September 15, 2025
Norwegian energy firm Statkraft has agreed to divest a portion of its renewable energy portfolio to Serentica Renewables.
September 15, 2025
UNSW spin-out company Lab360 Solar has been awarded funding from ARENA to bring its drone-based PV inspection technology to market.
Premium
September 15, 2025
The UK government and solar industry have jointly published a long-anticipated roadmap detailing how to maximise the country’s solar potential. Chris Hewett, CEO of Solar Energy UK takes a closer look at the details.

Subscribe to Newsletter

Upcoming Events

Solar Media Events
September 16, 2025
Athens, Greece
Solar Media Events
September 30, 2025
Seattle, USA
Solar Media Events
October 1, 2025
London, UK
Solar Media Events
October 2, 2025
London,UK
Solar Media Events
October 7, 2025
Manila, Philippines