Record 462GW of solar capacity seeking grid interconnection across the US

Facebook
Twitter
LinkedIn
Reddit
Email
A solar-plus-storage installation in North Carolina. More than one-third of the solar in the interconnection queues is proposed as a hybrid plant. Image: Lockheed Martin.

A record amount of solar capacity and energy storage is currently in US transmission interconnection queues, according to a new study from Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (Berkeley Lab).

At 462GW, solar accounts for most of the total generator capacity in the queues, which reached a record of more than 755GW and an estimated 200GW of storage capacity at the end of 2020. To put that in perspective, the US had 1,117GW of utility-scale electricity generating capacity in operation last year.

Proposed large-scale electric generation and storage projects must apply for interconnection to the bulk power system via interconnection queues. Berkeley Lab said that while many projects that apply for interconnection are not subsequently built, data from the queues provide a general indicator for mid-term trends in developer interest.

The laboratory, which is supported by the US Department of Energy, analysed data from seven independent system operators (ISOs) and regional transmission organisations, in addition to 35 utilities not in ISO regions, representing an estimated 85% of all US electricity load.

Solar capacity in the queues is distributed across most regions, including most notably PJM (89GW), the non-ISO West (88GW), ERCOT (65GW), MISO (64GW), Southeast (57GW) and CAISO (47GW).

Capacity (GW) in queues at end of 2020. Image: Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory.

The data also indicates growing interest in hybrid plants that combine multiple generation types and/or storage at the point of interconnection. At least 159GW of the solar in the queues is proposed as a hybrid plant, representing more than one-third of all solar in the queues.

An estimated 112GW of battery capacity is proposed in hybrid configurations with generation, representing 55% of all storage capacity in the queues. Berkeley Lab found that interest in hybrids is most prominent in CAISO and the non-ISO West, where 89% and 67% of the cumulative proposed solar is in a hybrid configuration, respectively – a trend that is said to be accelerating.

The research suggested that completion percentages have been declining in recent years and are lower for wind and solar than for other resources. Meanwhile, wait times are on the rise: in four ISOs, the typical duration from connection request to commercial operation increased from ~1.9 years for projects built in 2000 – 2009 to ~3.5 years for those built in 2010 – 2020.

Despite the record capacity in the queues, much will not ultimately be built, Berkeley Lab said. Looking back at a subset of queues for which data are available (CAISO, ISO-NE, MISO, NYISO, and PJM), only 24% of the projects seeking connection from 2000 to 2015 subsequently reached commercial operations.

The research follows another recent Berkeley Lab study which found that standalone battery storage can offer better value to the US electricity system than batteries paired directly with solar generation.

For more on that story, visit our sister publication Energy-Storage.news.

Read Next

September 26, 2022
NextEra’s 485MW solar PV co-located plant has reached full commercial operation in Riverside County, California, according to the US DOI.
September 26, 2022
A subsidiary of solar EPC Sterling and Wilson has signed a memorandum of understanding with the government of Nigeria to develop and construct a portfolio of PV and battery energy storage system (BESS) projects in the country.
September 22, 2022
The RE+ tradeshow has been full of hope, excitement but also short-term questions as the industry considers the significance of the IRA.
PV Tech Premium
September 22, 2022
The war in Ukraine, approaching its eighth month, is having an extremely detrimental effect on the country's solar sector.
September 22, 2022
New York Governor Kathy Hochul has launched a solicitation calling for 2GW of large-scale renewables projects in the state.
September 21, 2022
Cost certainty, reducing wait times and more flexible agreements with utilities are crucial to solving the US’ interconnections problems that are holding the country back from reaching its renewables targets

Subscribe to Newsletter

Upcoming Events

Upcoming Webinars
September 27, 2022
15:30 AEST (UTC +10)
Solar Media Events
October 4, 2022
New York, USA
On-Demand Webinars, Solar Media Events
October 11, 2022
Virtual event
Upcoming Webinars
October 18, 2022
10am (EDT) / 4pm (CEST)