Polysilicon price jumps 9% in a week as energy crisis hits China

Share on facebook
Facebook
Share on twitter
Twitter
Share on linkedin
LinkedIn
Share on reddit
Reddit
Share on email
Email
Factories across China have been told to shut or reduce their operating hours as the energy crisis harms production. Image: Daqo

Polysilicon prices have risen by 8.6% to RMB230/kg (US$35.3/kg) this week following a power crisis in China that has seen the government order silicon metal producers to curb their operations.

Producers of silicon metal in China have been told by the country’s government to shutter or reduce working hours while a power crisis grips the country, and in particular Yunnan Province. As a result, the price of solar-grade polysilicon has leapt by almost 9% in a week.

The latest jump in polysilicon price is expected to increase the price of monofacial PERC modules by 2.1%, equivalent to around US$0.005/W. This follows a year that has seen module prices increase by 25%, causing the delay or cancellation of solar projects.  

China has been hit by a perfect storm when it comes to its energy crisis. Falling coal production and reserves, poor energy efficiency and surging demand following the pandemic have all combined to deplete power availability and push up prices.

As a response, China has ordered railway companies and local authorities to expedite coal supplies to utilities. Coal still accounts for 56% of China’s power generation and is used to power many productions sites that make solar products.

Indeed, Bloomberg News, citing unidentified sources, reported yesterday (29 September) that China was weighing up whether to raise industrial power prices in order to ease the supply pressures.

China has recently sought to reduce its energy consumption but “the curbs more likely ignited a tinderbox of issues accumulating for months around soaring fuel prices and coal shortages, highlighting the difficulties in implementing energy policy in the context of a huge economy with numerous moving parts,” according to an analysis paper by S&P Global published yesterday (29 September).

Module prices have been on the rise since December last year due to a number of factors, including polysilicon supply shortages and soaring shipping costs. Experts expected the price of modules to come down in the new year.


Analysis

Sean Rai-Roche, Reporter, PV Tech

An energy crisis in China that has seen silicon manufacturing curtailed is not good news for the solar industry. If it persists, it will likely cause greater upward pressure on polysilicon, and in turn module, prices. While the impact of the energy crunch on modules has been minimal so far (up 2.1%), the situation could worsen if it drags on.

Polysilicon production was already under pressure this year after the major producers failed to bring enough capacity online to meet demand and nervous manufacturers bought up large quantities at high prices fearing shortages. This, combined with massively increased shipping costs, caused the price of modules to soar and delayed projects.

Nonetheless, industry analysts and experts predicted that the price of modules would plateau before the end of this year and start to fall thereafter. The major players were bringing more polysilicon capacity online and there would be more than enough supply to meet demand.

Fuel shortages in China causing production to slow or stop was not part of their predictions, however.

And while this latest crisis will probably be short lived as the Chinese state steps in and demands the speedy delivery of coal to its utilities, it will likely cause yet more uncertainty and price rises down the supply chain. One potential silver lining is that the situation has highlighted the country’s (and our industry’s) reliance on coal power, which must be addressed.

Read Next

October 14, 2021
US solar manufacturers behind the anti-dumping and countervailing duties petition have responded to a US government request for more information, stressing the case is “vital” to rebuilding US solar manufacturing.
PV Tech Premium
October 14, 2021
China Silicon Industry, the country’s trade association for the nonferrous metals industry, has warned that pricing for polysilicon chips has soared 13.2% to highs of RMB273/kg (US$42.42/kg), placing further pricing pressure on the solar industry.
October 12, 2021
China has started building work on the first 100GW phase of a solar and wind buildout that is likely to see hundreds of gigawatts deployed in the country's desert regions.
PV Tech Premium
October 12, 2021
The desire to invoke a solar manufacturing renaissance in Europe was one of the key points of discussion at Intersolar Europe 2021, with much talk of heightened demand for ‘Made in Europe’ products. But how far away is Europe from establishing a complete value chain on the continent, and what are the hurdles that remain? Liam Stoker reports.
October 12, 2021
The investment required to upgrade and expand transmission infrastructure across the world will be a key challenge as more renewables come online, consultancy EY has warned.
PV Tech Premium
October 11, 2021
China’s solar module market has returned from its National Day festival to yet another surge in module prices, which are now standing at two-year highs. PV Tech’s Carrie Xiao analyses the impacts of this most recent price increase as the industry steadies itself once again.

Subscribe to Newsletter

Upcoming Events

Solar Media Events
October 19, 2021
BRISTOL, UK
Upcoming Webinars
November 10, 2021
8am (PST) | 5pm (CET)
Solar Media Events
December 1, 2021