Solar and wind push wholesale power prices to record lows in Australia

Facebook
Twitter
LinkedIn
Reddit
Email
Southend, South Australia. Source: Flickr, Holiday Point

The uptick of renewables in Australia has helped bring about three-year lows for wholesale electricity prices on the country’s largest power market.

In its quarterly market report published Monday, Australia’s Energy Market Operator (AEMO) noted that prices on the National Electricity Market (NEM) dipped to AU$72/MWh (US$48/MWh) in the final quarter of 2019.

This article requires Premium SubscriptionBasic (FREE) Subscription

Try Premium for just $1

  • Full premium access for the first month at only $1
  • Converts to an annual rate after 30 days unless cancelled
  • Cancel anytime during the trial period

Premium Benefits

  • Expert industry analysis and interviews
  • Digital access to PV Tech Power journal
  • Exclusive event discounts

Or get the full Premium subscription right away

Or continue reading this article for free

The price average, a 20% drop from the year prior, was driven by increased solar, wind and gas-powered generation, according to AEMO.

Combined grid-scale solar and wind output increased by 39% in Q4 2019 compared to Q4 2018, while coal generation dropped to the lowest level recorded since 2016.

Variable electricity (VRE) generation accounted for 14% of the supply mix on the NEM, up from 10% the year prior.

Australia saw its hottest and driest year on record in 2019. Extreme heat and ongoing bushfires have wreaked havoc on generator and transmission lines and prompted AEMO to activate AU$3.5 million (US$2.3 million) worth of reserve energy contracts in 2019 Q4.

System strength constraints in South Australia, transmission outages and other network constraints contributed to record high levels of renewables curtailment on the NEM in Q4 2019. Curtailment rates increased to 6% of total VRE output.

The biggest contributor to the unprecedented levels of curtailment in Q4 2019 was system security constraints enforced by AEMO on four solar farms in Victoria and a farm in New South Wales in mid-September, according to the update.

“The main increase compared in Q4 2019 to Q3 2019 was the impact of the VIC/NSW solar constraint, with an estimated average curtailment of 75 MW, up from 14 MW in Q3 2019. The increase was due to the constraint being in place for the entire quarter – compared to less than one month in Q3 2019 – as well as sunnier Q4 conditions,” the report notes.

Rooftop PV disrupts energy mix in Western Australia; record revenues for storage

It was a quarter of records for the Western Australia Wholesale Electricity Market (WEM), which recorded its highest ever level of renewables penetration on 30 November when combined wind, grid-scale and rooftop solar covered 51% of system demand.

The power system also set a new all-time minimum demand precedent on 13 October, when output from rooftop PV covered 43% of electricity demand, and grid demand plunged to 1,159MW.

Conversely, as temperatures skyrocketed to 39 degrees C in December, the grid recorded its highest demand for electricity in Q4 on record.

Meanwhile, market revenue for grid-scale batteries hit AU$20 million (US$13 million), 70% higher than the previous record, due to increased returns in frequency control ancillary service (FCAS) markets.

AEMO said that higher prices, increased market share and events in South Australia related to the islanding (or perceived risk of islanding) of its electricity grid drove the FCAS revenue surge.

Read Next

Premium
May 11, 2026
In this interview, UNSW's Yansong warns the solar industry will exhaust global silver reserves in five years unless commercial-scale recycling infrastructure is developed.
May 11, 2026
Yindjibarndi Energy Corporation (YEC) has reached financial close on the 150MW Jinbi solar PV power plant in Western Australia's Pilbara region and signed a 30-year power purchase agreement (PPA) with mining giant Rio Tinto.
Premium
May 8, 2026
PV Talk: Cristiano Spillati of Italian renewables developer Limes Renewable Energy discusses the dynamics shaping the evolution of European solar.
May 8, 2026
Australia's utility-scale solar sector must halve generation costs to around AU$25-30/MWh (US$18-22/MWh) to unlock a pipeline of projects capable of delivering the 10GW of annual capacity additions needed for decarbonisation, according to the Australian Renewable Energy Agency (ARENA).
May 7, 2026
PV installations in Germany in Q1 2026 decreased by 6% year-on-year as demand for residential solar systems declined, according to BSW-Solar.
May 7, 2026
Neoen has brought its 440MWp Culcairn Solar Farm online in NSW, marking the completion of the company's second-largest solar asset globally.

Upcoming Events

Solar Media Events
May 20, 2026
Porto, Portugal
Upcoming Webinars
May 27, 2026
9am BST / 10am CEST
Media Partners, Solar Media Events
June 3, 2026
National Exhibition and Convention Center (Shanghai)
Solar Media Events
June 16, 2026
Napa, USA
Media Partners, Solar Media Events
August 25, 2026
São Paulo, Brazil