Solar drives battery storage surge as Australia’s NEM shifts 359MW from day to evening

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European Energy's Lancaster solar project in Australia.
European Energy’s Lancaster solar PV power plant in Australia. Image: European Energy.

Australia’s surging solar adoption has driven battery energy storage systems (BESS) in the National Electricity Market (NEM) to more than triple their daytime-to-evening energy shifting in the first quarter of 2026, according to AEMO’s latest Quarterly Energy Dynamics report.

Grid-scale solar output reached a new quarterly high of 2,706MW, up 13% from Q1 2025, while renewables supplied 46.5% of NEM generation during the quarter, the highest share on record for a first quarter. The increased solar penetration has forced New South Wales to revise its 2030 storage requirements upward from 40GWh to 56GWh.

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“Two years ago, we needed 40GWh of storage operational by 2030. That has now increased to 56GWh solely due to solar penetration,” said Paul Peters, CEO of New South Wales’ Energy Security Corporation, speaking at the Energy Storage Summit Australia 2026 last month.

“Of the 56GWh needed, 12.5GWh has hit the financial investment decision. 75% of what we need in 2030 is not there today.”

Average battery discharge reached 359MW during the quarter, more than three times the 98MW recorded in the same period a year earlier. This growth was driven by 4,445MW of new large-scale battery storage systems, adding 11,219MWh to the grid since the end of Q1 2025, more than doubling total installed battery storage in the NEM.

Daytime charging increased by 872MW, while evening peak discharge rose by 818MW, shifting energy from daylight hours into periods of higher demand. Battery storage delivered 1,115MW into the evening peak, with peak discharge reaching a record 3,556MW on 7 January during the half-hour ending 19:00, 23% higher than the previous record set in Q4 2025.

Eight battery storage systems commenced commissioning in the NEM during Q1 2026, including the 415MW/1,660MWh Orana BESS in New South Wales, the 300MW/650MWh Mortlake BESS in Victoria and the 260MW/1,090MWh Supernode BESS unit 2 in Queensland.

Price-setting role expands as solar drives arbitrage revenues

Battery storage set prices in 32% of trading intervals across the NEM during the quarter, displacing hydro as the most frequent price-setting technology.

The increased battery capacity contributed to lower year-on-year wholesale prices in most regions, with the NEM average wholesale spot price averaging AU$73/MWh (US$51.97/MWh), down 12% from Q1 2025.

Evening peak prices fell as battery discharge reduced reliance on gas and hydro generation, though this effect was moderated by an increase in daytime prices as battery charging set prices more frequently, reducing the frequency of negative prices in the northern regions.

Estimated revenue for NEM grid-scale battery storage systems averaged AU$96.9 million, more than double the AU$44 million recorded in Q1 2025. Energy arbitrage revenue rose by AU$55.1 million to AU$93.9 million, accounting for 97% of total battery storage revenue, up from 88% a year earlier. Frequency control ancillary services (FCAS) revenue declined to AU$3 million, down 43% from the previous year, representing just 3% of total revenue.

Peak renewable energy and storage contribution in the NEM reached 76.7% during the half-hour ending 11:30 on 7 January, 4.3% higher than the previous Q1 outcome. South Australia set a record for renewable energy generation and storage contribution, reaching 98.8% during the half-hour ending 15:00 on 31 January.

In Western Australia’s Wholesale Electricity Market (WEM), battery discharge increased by 108MW, driven by the commissioning of 1,025MW/4,100MWh of new battery storage systems since the end of Q1 2025. The renewable energy share of generation increased to 46.1%, up from 40.8% in Q1 2025.

To read the full article and further information on battery storage, please visit Energy-Storage.news.

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