Solar and wind push wholesale power prices to record lows in Australia

Facebook
Twitter
LinkedIn
Reddit
Email
Southend, South Australia. Source: Flickr, Holiday Point

The uptick of renewables in Australia has helped bring about three-year lows for wholesale electricity prices on the country’s largest power market.

In its quarterly market report published Monday, Australia’s Energy Market Operator (AEMO) noted that prices on the National Electricity Market (NEM) dipped to AU$72/MWh (US$48/MWh) in the final quarter of 2019.

This article requires Premium SubscriptionBasic (FREE) Subscription

Try Premium for just $1

  • Full premium access for the first month at only $1
  • Converts to an annual rate after 30 days unless cancelled
  • Cancel anytime during the trial period

Premium Benefits

  • Expert industry analysis and interviews
  • Digital access to PV Tech Power journal
  • Exclusive event discounts

Or get the full Premium subscription right away

Or continue reading this article for free

The price average, a 20% drop from the year prior, was driven by increased solar, wind and gas-powered generation, according to AEMO.

Combined grid-scale solar and wind output increased by 39% in Q4 2019 compared to Q4 2018, while coal generation dropped to the lowest level recorded since 2016.

Variable electricity (VRE) generation accounted for 14% of the supply mix on the NEM, up from 10% the year prior.

Australia saw its hottest and driest year on record in 2019. Extreme heat and ongoing bushfires have wreaked havoc on generator and transmission lines and prompted AEMO to activate AU$3.5 million (US$2.3 million) worth of reserve energy contracts in 2019 Q4.

System strength constraints in South Australia, transmission outages and other network constraints contributed to record high levels of renewables curtailment on the NEM in Q4 2019. Curtailment rates increased to 6% of total VRE output.

The biggest contributor to the unprecedented levels of curtailment in Q4 2019 was system security constraints enforced by AEMO on four solar farms in Victoria and a farm in New South Wales in mid-September, according to the update.

“The main increase compared in Q4 2019 to Q3 2019 was the impact of the VIC/NSW solar constraint, with an estimated average curtailment of 75 MW, up from 14 MW in Q3 2019. The increase was due to the constraint being in place for the entire quarter – compared to less than one month in Q3 2019 – as well as sunnier Q4 conditions,” the report notes.

Rooftop PV disrupts energy mix in Western Australia; record revenues for storage

It was a quarter of records for the Western Australia Wholesale Electricity Market (WEM), which recorded its highest ever level of renewables penetration on 30 November when combined wind, grid-scale and rooftop solar covered 51% of system demand.

The power system also set a new all-time minimum demand precedent on 13 October, when output from rooftop PV covered 43% of electricity demand, and grid demand plunged to 1,159MW.

Conversely, as temperatures skyrocketed to 39 degrees C in December, the grid recorded its highest demand for electricity in Q4 on record.

Meanwhile, market revenue for grid-scale batteries hit AU$20 million (US$13 million), 70% higher than the previous record, due to increased returns in frequency control ancillary service (FCAS) markets.

AEMO said that higher prices, increased market share and events in South Australia related to the islanding (or perceived risk of islanding) of its electricity grid drove the FCAS revenue surge.

Read Next

September 8, 2026
Australia's utility-scale solar & wind assets generated a combined 4.99TWh across the NEM in August 2026, according to Rystad Energy.
Premium
September 7, 2026
Australia's National Electricity Market (NEM) recorded a combined 3,893GWh of solar generation in August 2026, comprising 1,628GWh from utility-scale assets and 2,265GWh from rooftop systems.
September 4, 2026
Victoria's SEC has connected the 119MW solar PV plant component of its SEC Renewable Energy Park in Australia to the grid for the first time.
September 1, 2026
Australia recorded its strongest quarter yet for rooftop solar installations, household battery storage uptake and large-scale solar investment in Q2 2026, according to the Clean Energy Regulator's (CER) latest Quarterly Carbon Market Report.
August 31, 2026
ARENA has announced up to AU$105.6 million for 20 research and development projects aimed at reducing the cost of large-scale solar.
August 27, 2026
Potentia Energy has completed its 98MW Quorn Park solar-plus-storage project in New South Wales, featuring a 20MW/40MWh BESS.

Upcoming Events

Solar Media Events
October 13, 2026
San Francisco Bay Area, USA
Solar Media Events
November 3, 2026
Málaga, Spain
Solar Media Events
November 24, 2026
Warsaw, Poland
Solar Media Events
February 2, 2027
London, UK