China’s new grid capacity likely to exceed solar demand

Facebook
Twitter
LinkedIn
Reddit
Email
Forecasts expect in the region of 40-45GW of new solar to come forward in China in 2020.

China could accommodate nearly 50GW of new solar PV capacity this year, new analysis has revealed.

Analysis from China’s National New Energy Absorption Monitoring and Early Warning Center, issued earlier this week, confirmed that the country’s vast power grid would be able to incorporate some 48.45GW of new solar installations this year.

This article requires Premium SubscriptionBasic (FREE) Subscription

Try Premium for just $1

  • Full premium access for the first month at only $1
  • Converts to an annual rate after 30 days unless cancelled
  • Cancel anytime during the trial period

Premium Benefits

  • Expert industry analysis and interviews
  • Digital access to PV Tech Power journal
  • Exclusive event discounts

Or get the full Premium subscription right away

Or continue reading this article for free

The theoretical maximum would be split between just over 39GW on grids operated by the State Grid Corporation of China, an additional 7.4GW of solar within Southern Power Grid Corporation’s operational area, and a further 2GW of new capacity allowed within the operating area of Inner Mongolia Electric Power Company.

The province with the most capacity for new solar is Shandong, which has room for some 4.4GW of new solar installs, followed by Jiangsu (3.25GW) and Qinghai (3GW).

With the capacity for an additional 48.45GW of new solar installs this year, China is unlikely to encounter any issues around curtailment. Most forecasts have placed new solar project completions in China this year in the 40-45GW range, having installed around 30GW last year.

Deployment of solar has indeed slowed in China in recent years. Last year’s 30.11GW contrasted against the 43.4GW installed in 2018 and 53GW in 2017.

Read Next

September 11, 2026
Recent financial results from China's inverter manufacturers reveal a clear profitability gap between market leaders and mid-tier players.
September 11, 2026
New Zealand's solar generation rose 56.2% year-on-year to a record 242GWh in Q2 2026, according to the latest New Zealand Energy Quarterly.
September 9, 2026
JinkoSolar has become the second major Chinese PV producer to remove “solar” from its name to reflect its evolving business activities.
Premium
September 7, 2026
Australia's National Electricity Market (NEM) recorded a combined 3,893GWh of solar generation in August 2026, comprising 1,628GWh from utility-scale assets and 2,265GWh from rooftop systems.
September 4, 2026
Victoria's SEC has connected the 119MW solar PV plant component of its SEC Renewable Energy Park in Australia to the grid for the first time.
September 1, 2026
Australia recorded its strongest quarter yet for rooftop solar installations, household battery storage uptake and large-scale solar investment in Q2 2026, according to the Clean Energy Regulator's (CER) latest Quarterly Carbon Market Report.

Upcoming Events

Solar Media Events
October 13, 2026
San Francisco Bay Area, USA
Solar Media Events
November 3, 2026
Málaga, Spain
Solar Media Events
November 24, 2026
Warsaw, Poland
Solar Media Events
February 2, 2027
London, UK