IHS report on PV costs fuels rhetoric from both sides of anti-dumping debate

April 20, 2016
Facebook
Twitter
LinkedIn
Reddit
Email
German-headquartered module maker Solarworld takes the lead in EU Prosun. Image: Solarworld.

Solarworld-headed manufacturer group EU Prosun said rival Solar Alliance for Europe (SAFE) is “twisting or simply ignoring” data from an analyst report to make it appear to support the latter’s position on the EU-China anti-dumping dispute.

SAFE, which has a membership of German companies including developer Baywa r.e and energy services provider MVV Energie, campaigns for what it calls “a solar market without trade barriers”. The group campaigns for the lifting of trade tariffs on Chinese PV imports to Europe and recently commissioned analysis firm IHS to put together “The Price of Solar – Benchmarking PV Module Manufacturing Cost”.

This article requires Premium SubscriptionBasic (FREE) Subscription

Try Premium for just $1

  • Full premium access for the first month at only $1
  • Converts to an annual rate after 30 days unless cancelled
  • Cancel anytime during the trial period

Premium Benefits

  • Expert industry analysis and interviews
  • Digital access to PV Tech Power journal
  • Exclusive event discounts

Or get the full Premium subscription right away

Or continue reading this article for free

Conversely, opponent EU Prosun, which purports to represent the interests of EU manufacturers, continues to lobby for the continuation of tariffs, including the imposition of a €0.56 (US$0.64) per watt minimum import price (MIP).

The SAFE-IHS report says that driven by three factors; economies of scale, close supply chains and a high degree of standardisation, Chinese manufacturers’ modules continue to be produced at lower costs than those from competing nations. While the rate of manufacturing cost reductions has been faster in non-Chinese industries since 2012, Chinese modules are still manufactured some 22% more cheaply.

“Since lower cost leads to cheaper prices, the European solar industry needs full access to Chinese products. This can easily stimulate demand and in the end, European manufacturers would benefit because in a growing market the demand for products “Made in Europe” also increases,” SAFE’s Dr Holger Krawinkel said.

EU Prosun claims Europe is catching up on cost drops

EU Prosun president Milan Nitschke – who is also Solarworld’s vice president – told PV Tech this morning that the SAFE-commissioned study was “ignoring” Chinese state subsidisation of PV companies, what he called “state-financed overcapacities” and lower regulatory standards for the industry.

Nitschke sent PV Tech an English-language version of a statement from EU Prosun which criticised SAFE’s conclusions. Although he said he welcomed the findings that European and US manufacturers appeared to be closing the gap with China, SAFE seemed to be cherry-picking certain points to make the conclusions support its own stance.

He said that the three drivers for cost reduction advantage cited above were all present in categories where “special conditions” exist. According to Nitschke and EU Prosun, it is “all the more remarkable… that non-Chinese companies could now catch up without these subsidies and reduce their costs”.

“Chinese overcapacities are funded by the state. This is precisely the reason why the EU has imposed anti-dumping measures and why these need to continue.”

‘Not the full story’: IHS responds

IHS, which said it maintains a neutral stance on the topic of import duties, wrote its report from a sample of so-called Tier One manufacturers in China, ‘other Asia’ (including Malaysia and Singapore) and the rest of the world – Europe, the USA and Japan. PV Tech spoke with the IHS report’s lead author, Henning Wicht, this morning.

Wicht said that ultimately, it was undeniable that economies of scale drove the cost competitiveness of Chinese makers to a large degree and that it would be difficult for Europe to catch up without a similar effort. While it was true that Chinese PV manufacturing is state-supported, Wicht argued that nearly all governments seek to support their local industries with some form of incentives.

“The point which Mr Nitschke makes is his way of interpreting things – but he’s neglecting that scale matters.”

“There is still a big difference and the difference is related to scale. If you want to have European suppliers being at the same level they would have to run at a higher scale.

To Nitschke’s point that non-Chinese manufacturers are “closing the gap”, Wicht said that there was an element of interpretation on EU Prosun’s part at play.

“The cost gap has declined between EU and China but there’s a big drop in 2012-2013 from Japanese and Western suppliers, related in particular to a drop in costs from the Japanese.”

Wicht said neither he nor IHS was prepared to back either side in the argument, but said it was good that with the report, EU Prosun and SAFE at least had an underlying data set to work from.

However, the analyst said the data in his team’s report supported SAFE’s conclusion that MIP is ultimately limiting competition.

“The cost declines made on the manufacturing side are not taken into account in the current stage through the MIP at a global level,” he said.

At the beginning of March, European Commission senior official Marie Donnelly said that the minimum import price (MIP) policy has resulted in higher prices and no new jobs.

3 November 2026
Málaga, Spain
Understanding PV module supply to the European market in 2027. PV ModuleTech Europe 2026 is a two-day conference that tackles these challenges directly, with an agenda that addresses all aspects of module supplier selection; product availability, technology offerings, traceability of supply-chain, factory auditing, module testing and reliability, and company bankability.

Read Next

March 27, 2026
Two module production facilities in China have been awarded the first Supply Traceability Standard certifications by Europe’s Solar Stewardship Initiative (SSI).
March 26, 2026
More than 70% of global solar manufacturing facilities exhibited “major” or “critical” defects in 2025, according to a new report from Intertek CEA.
March 25, 2026
TCL Zhonghuan has reported a 2025 loss alongside a raft of executive changes as its operating revenue rose slightly year-on-year.
March 23, 2026
PV recycling capacity in Europe is lagging behind forecast waste volumes over the coming decades, according to a new study.
March 20, 2026
Since the start of March, several leading Chinese PV manufacturers have announced overseas module supply agreements.
March 20, 2026
Global solar PV installations reached 647GW in 2025, up 11% from the previous year, according to data from think tank Ember.

Upcoming Events

Solar Media Events
April 15, 2026
Milan, Italy
Solar Media Events
June 16, 2026
Napa, USA
Solar Media Events
October 13, 2026
San Francisco Bay Area, USA
Solar Media Events
November 3, 2026
Málaga, Spain
Solar Media Events
November 24, 2026
Warsaw, Poland